The following exclusive Observationz poll rather paints a different picture of the election to those "scientific" polls in the mainstream media.
Destiny NZ 2.1%
NZ First 2.1%
United Future 6.4%
On this basis, I expect that ACT will be able to lead a government with the support of National - which I'm sure Don will give to the victorious Rodney - he will probably get Treasurer, or maybe Deputy PM. A few more votes could see the Libertarianz joining in though.
[Sample details: the sample of 47 was taken from Span's analysis here and is based on a self-selecting sample of those who have bothered to create a blog and declare their preference - but hey - in the words of Susan Wood it "Makes you wonder".]